| Seeds of Trouble From
Burma
By Richard G. Lugar
(The writer is a Republican senator from Indiana and
chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.)
The military junta that rules Burma has long been known as a group
committed to retaining power at any cost. The price has been paid
mainly by Burma's citizens, but the consequences may now spread
well beyond Burma's borders.
The generals have killed thousands of democracy supporters since
the student protests in 1988 and waged war on ethnic insurgents.
To tighten their grip on the population, over the past 15 years
they have doubled the size of the military, which now consumes 40
percent of the budget, at the expense of spending on health and
education.
Consequently, hundreds of thousands of their citizens have died
as a result of the broken-down health care system. The generals
who run the country are notorious
for their widespread use of forced labor, which the International
Labor Organization calls "a contemporary form of slavery."
The junta has maintained these abhorrent policies despite sanctions,
aid cutoffs and repeated denunciations by many Western countries,
including the United States.
Yet it makes the headlines only when it commits an especially acute
outrage, such as that of last May 30, when pro-government militia
crashed a political rally near Mandalay and murdered several bodyguards
and supporters of Nobel laureate Aung San Suu Kyi, the fearless
democracy crusader who had been freed only last year from a lengthy
house arrest.
The junta rearrested Suu Kyi, shut down offices of her political
party and detained her at a secret location. She returned home Friday
for a new stint of indefinite
house arrest.
I am pleased that the Senate reacted quickly in June to put pressure
on the junta by voting for a ban on all Burmese imports. Until now
this record of bloody
repression and economic ruin has primarily victimized the long-suffering
Burmese people, and world attention has often drifted away from
what some consider an
internal problem. But it is time to take a closer look. Burma's
generals are quietly moving in new directions that could make that
dismal country a source of instability throughout South and Southeast
Asia.
Strategically situated between regional rivals India and China,
Burma is seeking to leverage the two powers' battle for influence.
China is the regime's major arms supplier and has assumed significant
economic power over the country, recently extending debt relief
and a $200 million loan
to Burma, which has been cut off from most other external funding.
China, reports indicate, has built a port and shipyard south of
Rangoon to help export products from China's landlocked western
provinces.
India, concerned about China's rising dominance, has stepped up
its relations with Burma. Indian Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee
met with the Burmese foreign minister earlier this year, the highest-level
contact between the two countries in more than a decade, and India
is also reportedly building a port on Burma's coast.
Improving ties with regional powers is not necessarily a bad thing,
especially if they would push Burma toward more civilized behavior.
But neither Beijing nor New Delhi has shown any such inclination.
Instead the two huge neighbors are using Burma as a pawn in their
rivalry, making it a potential source of friction, not a buffer.
Japan is increasingly concerned about China's penetration of Burma,
and it was to counter China's influence that the regional grouping
of smaller countries, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations
(ASEAN),
decided to admit Burma as a member several years ago. These countries
see now that the junta was cynically using them to try to gain legitimacy.
More troubling is the news that Burma, one of the poorest countries
on earth, has contracted with Russia for a nuclear reactor. Both
sides insist it is for medical research purposes, but even if that's
true, it would add an unnecessary proliferation risk to a world
where terrorists are on the prowl for nuclear material. Some 300
Burmese have been in Russia receiving training to operate the facility,
and Burma has also bought 10 MiG-29 fighter jets from Russia.
Most disturbing of all, Burma is renewing ties with North Korea
that were cut off after North Korean agents in 1983 set off a bomb
in Rangoon that killed
21 people, including four visiting South Korean cabinet members.
Besides possibly reestablishing formal diplomatic relations, the
two have held high-level discussions on military cooperation.
The link-up of these two pariah states can only spell trouble.
North Korea's main export is dangerous weapons technology, and there
have been reports that
Burma is getting missiles and other arms from Pyongyang.
These developments have been largely overlooked as we concentrated
on the war in Iraq, challenges in the Middle East and unpredictable
developments on the
Korean peninsula. But they are the seeds of a major threat to Asian
security and stability. The world should take notice, and the United
States needs to make Burma a priority in its relations with Russia,
China, India and ASEAN so that we can forge a multilateral plan
to turn the generals from their dangerous course.
Source : The Washington Post
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